Class 9 · Maths · Chapter 15 · बिहार बोर्ड (BSEB)CBSE · NCERT 2026-27

Probability

Probability

How to use this page:
1. Read — Activity 1 · Activity 2 · Activity 3 · Activity 4 · Activity 5 · Exercise 15.1, diagram, worked example, board tip
2. Check — each lesson has its own questions; the number follows the lesson
3. Mastery ★ — all of that lesson correct. Redo the wrong ones
4. The memory figure shows one point of empirical probability on a line from 0 to 1.

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  • 1 Uncertainty and Activity 1
  • 2 Activity 2 — groups and the cumulative fraction
  • 3 Activities 3 and 4 — a die and two coins
  • 4 Trial, event, and the formula
  • 5 The sum 1, and the values 0 and 1
  • 6 Exercise 15.1
  • Chapter winner — every lesson at mastery ★

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1

Uncertainty and Activity 1

अनिश्चितता और क्रियाकलाप 1 · Textbook 15.1–15.2 · coin

New
Uncertainty and Activity 1HTEqually likely outcomes — each has the same chance
Two faces of a coin, six faces of a die — when every one is equally possible.
“Probably” gets a numberNotes

Everyday words such as probably, doubt and a fifty-fifty chance are uncertainty. Probability gives that uncertainty a number. The subject began with games of chance and is now used in weather and science too.

Activity 1: toss a coin ten times, count heads and tails, then twenty times, then more. The fraction = number of heads / total tosses. As the trials grow, this fraction moves near 0.5.

Activity 1Activity

Take any coin. Fill the table of ten tosses: total, heads, tails. Write both fractions. Then twenty tosses. Then increase again. Watch the fraction move near 1/2. This is not yet the name of the formula. It is a count.

Worked exampleExample

Question: In 40 tosses, 22 are heads. Find the head fraction.

Formula: fraction = number of heads / total tosses.

Substitution: 22 / 40 = 0.55.

Unit: none. It is a ratio.

10-second revision
  • Ten, then twenty, then more tosses
  • The fraction divides by the total
  • Near 0.5 when the trials are large
Board tip · BSEBBoard tip

Do not leave 22/40 as 22. Show the division. The answer 0.55 is a ratio.

Board tip · CBSEBoard tip

A 0.7 from ten tosses is not yet the rule. Increase the trials, then move near 0.5.

Check your understandingall correct = mastery ★
1
Activity 1 begins with —
Check
2
As the tosses increase, the head fraction moves near 0.5.
Check
3
If 40 tosses give 22 heads, the fraction is ______.
Check
4
The unit of this fraction is —
Check
5
Write the three stages of Activity 1 and the remark about 0.5.
Check3 marks
Next lesson →
2

Activity 2 — groups and the cumulative fraction

क्रियाकलाप 2 — समूह और संचयी भिन्न · Group coin · cumulative fraction

New
Activity 2Height = frequency
The height of each bar tells how many times that value appeared.
Add the groups, then find the fraction againNotes

The printed heading has a spelling slip, but the order is still the second activity. Divide the class into groups of 2 or 3. Each group tosses a coin of the same kind 15 times. Write cumulative heads and tails on the board.

The next group adds its count to the earlier sum and finds the fraction on the new total. As the tosses grow, the columns move near 0.5. This is not the die activity. The die comes next.

Activity 2Activity

Use a coin of one value in every group, so the tosses count as one coin. The first row is the fraction of its own 15 tosses. The second row is the fraction of the sum of both groups. That is what cumulative means.

Worked exampleExample

Question: The first group has 6 heads and 9 tails. The second has 8 heads and 7 tails. Find the cumulative head fraction.

Formula: cumulative fraction = total heads / total tosses.

Substitution: heads = 6 + 8 = 14. Tosses = 30. 14 / 30 = 0.466….

Unit: none.

10-second revision
  • Each group tosses 15 times
  • The fraction is on the new total
  • A larger total moves near 0.5
Board tip · BSEBBoard tip

Do not find the second group’s fraction on its own 15 only. Add the earlier sum.

Board tip · CBSEBoard tip

Do not call this Activity 3. The die has not come yet.

Check your understandingall correct = mastery ★
1
In Activity 2 each group tosses —
Check
2
A cumulative fraction includes the sum of the earlier groups.
Check
3
With 6 + 8 heads and 30 tosses, the heads are ______.
Check
4
Why is a cumulative fraction different from one group’s own fraction? Write one line on the sum of 6 and 8.
Check2 marks
Next lesson →
3

Activities 3 and 4 — a die and two coins

क्रियाकलाप 3 और 4 — पासा और दो सिक्के · Die 1/6 · two coins

New
Activities 3 and 4HTEqually likely outcomes — each has the same chance
Two faces of a coin, six faces of a die — when every one is equally possible.
A die near 1/6, two coins and three fractionsNotes

Activity 3: throw a die 20 times, then 40. The fraction of each score from 1 to 6 moves near 1/6 when the trials are large. Add groups the way the coin groups were added. A die is a balanced cube with 1 to 6 on the faces.

Activity 4: toss two coins together ten times, then more. No head, one head, two heads. For a large count the fractions are about 0.25, 0.5 and 0.25.

Activity 3, then 4Activity

Do not change the order. First one die. Six columns in the table. Then two coins together. Three columns: 0 heads, 1 head, 2 heads. Write their own fractions. Do not force 1/6 and 0.25 onto a small number of throws.

Worked exampleExample

Question: In 60 throws the score 3 appeared twelve times. Find the fraction and compare it with 1/6.

Formula: fraction = (times 3 appeared) / (total throws). 1/6 ≈ 0.167.

Substitution: 12 / 60 = 0.2. This is near 0.167, not equal.

Unit: none.

10-second revision
  • A die moves near 1/6
  • Two coins are about 0.25, 0.5, 0.25
  • Do not treat a small trial as exact
Board tip · BSEBBoard tip

Writing 12/60 = 0.2 as 1/6 is hasty. It is near, not the same.

Board tip · CBSEBoard tip

The three fractions of two coins should add near 1. Leaving out one column spoils the sum.

Check your understandingall correct = mastery ★
1
Activity 3 moves each die score, for large trials, near —
Check
2
Activity 4 tosses two coins together.
Check
3
If score 3 appears 12 times in 60 throws, the fraction is ______.
Check
4
For a large count of two coins, the two-head fraction is about —
Check
5
In 200 tosses: two heads 50, one head 100, no head 50. Write the three fractions and the sum.
Check3 marks
6
Activity 3 comes after Activity 4.
Check
Next lesson →
4

Trial, event, and the formula

परीक्षण, घटना और सूत्र · Activity 5 · empirical probability

New
How often it happened, divided by the totalNotes

A trial is an action that produces an outcome. One toss is a trial. One throw is a trial. One simultaneous toss of two coins is also a trial. The outcomes are head, tail, or 1 to 6. An event is a collection of some outcomes. The event of an even score contains 2, 4 and 6.

Activity 5 says: from the table of Activity 3 find the probability of the score 3, and see how it changes as the trials grow. The formula is P(E) = (trials in which E happened) / (total trials). For convenience the book just writes probability.

Probability between 0 and 101P(E)impossiblecertainThe point stays on the line. Not below 0 and not above 1.
Memory figure: P(E) stays on the line between 0 and 1.
Activity 5Activity

Open your own table from Activity 3. Count of score 3 ÷ total throws. Write the fraction on the first 20 throws, then on 40. The changing number is the empirical probability. Do not give it a new number. This is the fifth activity.

Worked exampleExample

Question: In 1000 tosses there are 480 heads and 520 tails. Find both probabilities.

Formula: P(E) = (trials in which E happened) / (total trials).

Substitution: P(heads) = 480/1000 = 0.48. P(tails) = 520/1000 = 0.52.

Unit: none. The sum is 1.00.

10-second revision
  • A trial is one action
  • An event is a collection of outcomes
  • P(E) = favourable / total
Board tip · BSEBBoard tip

Changing 480/1000 into a percent is not the first answer of this chapter. Keep 0.48 or the fraction.

Board tip · CBSEBoard tip

An even score is not one outcome. It is an event of three outcomes: 2, 4, 6.

Check your understandingall correct = mastery ★
1
P(E) equals —
Check
2
The event of getting an even score has three outcomes.
Check
3
For 480 heads and 1000 tosses, P(heads) = ______.
Check
4
Activity 5 returns to which table?
Check
5
Write one line each for trial, outcome and event. Also check the sum of 480 and 520.
Check3 marks
Next lesson →
5

The sum 1, and the values 0 and 1

योग 1, और 0 तथा 1 · Impossible · certain · complementary event

New
The sum 1, and the values 0 and 1HTEqually likely outcomes — each has the same chance
Two faces of a coin, six faces of a die — when every one is equally possible.
The ends are includedNotes

When two events split every trial exactly once, their values add to 1. Heads and tails are like that. Probability runs from 0 to 1, both ends included. If no student has that weight, the probability is 0. If every student meets the condition, the probability is 1.

A value above 1 or below 0 is a calculation error. Writing 100 as a percent is not the answer of this formula.

Worked exampleExample

Question: Of 200 students, 135 like the subject. Find the probabilities of like and dislike.

Formula: P = count / 200. Dislike = 1 − like, when together they are all the students.

Substitution: P(like) = 135/200 = 0.675. P(dislike) = 65/200 = 0.325. The sum is 1.

Unit: none.

10-second revision
  • 0 is impossible, 1 is certain
  • A complementary event adds to 1
  • 135/200 = 0.675
Board tip · BSEBBoard tip

Do not treat 65 as the total and write 65/135. The total is 200.

Board tip · CBSEBoard tip

1.2 is not a probability. Check the division again.

Check your understandingall correct = mastery ★
1
The probability of an impossible event is —
Check
2
A certain event has probability 1.
Check
3
135/200 = ______.
Check
4
If P = 0.675 is “like”, what is “dislike”? Check the sum.
Check2 marks
Next lesson →
6

Exercise 15.1

अभ्यास 15.1 · Only Exercise 15.1 · questions 9 and 10 are activities

New
Exercise 15.1HTEqually likely outcomes — each has the same chance
Two faces of a coin, six faces of a die — when every one is equally possible.
One exercise, thirteen questionsNotes

The only exercise of this chapter is 15.1. Later pages are an answers appendix, not new exercises. In each question find the total trials, then the favourable count. P = favourable / total.

In the family table, check that the three probabilities add to 1. In the 200 coin trials, take the row of two heads. In the opinion poll of 135 and 65, the total is 200.

Exercise 15.1 in orderActivity

1) The probability of not hitting a boundary. 2) Families with two children, number of girls, sum 1. 3) A student born in August. 4) Three coins, 200 times, two heads. 5) The income and vehicle table. 6) The marks table. 7) Likes or dislikes statistics. 8) An engineer’s distance, empirical. 9) Count vehicles at the gate. This is an activity, not a new number. 10) A three-digit number divisible by 3. This is an activity too. 11) A flour bag above 5 kg. 12) The sulphur dioxide interval. 13) Blood group AB.

Worked exampleExample

Question: In 30 balls a boundary came 8 times. Find the probability that a boundary did not come.

Formula: P(not) = (total − favourable) / total.

Substitution: (30 − 8) / 30 = 22/30 = 0.733….

Unit: none.

10-second revision
  • Only Exercise 15.1
  • Questions 9 and 10 are not new numbers
  • Complement = (total − favourable) / total
Board tip · BSEBBoard tip

Not hitting a boundary is not 8/30. It is 22/30. Read the wording of the question.

Board tip · CBSEBoard tip

Do not turn appendix Exercise 1.1 into a question of this chapter. That is the answers section.

Check your understandingall correct = mastery ★
1
If 8 boundaries come in 30, the probability of no boundary is —
Check
2
Questions 9 and 10 of Exercise 15.1 are not called Activity 6 and 7.
Check
3
The decimal of 22/30 is about ______.
Check
4
The only exercise of this chapter is —
Check
5
Of 200 students, 135 like it. Write both probabilities and the sum.
Check3 marks
6
Probability can be 1.5 if the trials are large.
Check
Question bank →

❓ Full question bank — with answers and explanations — 66 questions

No question is marked as a verified past paper. The BSEB set is a model for practice. CBSE items are CBSE-style, not a copy of any year’s paper.

Multiple choice

0/13
Pick one option. A wrong try brings a hint.
1
P(E) is —
Board-style (practice)1 mark
2
For large tosses the head fraction moves near —
Board-style (practice)1 mark
3
Each die score, for large trials, moves near —
Board-style (practice)1 mark
4
Two heads on two coins are about —
Board-style (practice)1 mark
5
An impossible event is —
Board-style (practice)1 mark
6
A certain event is —
Board-style (practice)1 mark
7
480/1000 equals —
Board-style (practice)1 mark
8
135/200 equals —
Board-style (practice)1 mark
9
If 8 boundaries come in 30, the probability of none is —
Board-style (practice)1 mark
10
Activity 2 is —
Board-style (practice)1 mark
11
Activity 5 returns to —
Board-style (practice)1 mark
12
The exercise of this chapter is —
Board-style (practice)1 mark
13
The unit of probability is —
Board-style (practice)1 mark
↑ Question hub

True or false

0/8
1
Probability can be greater than 1.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
2
Heads and tails add to 1 when together they are every toss.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
3
Activity 4 is the die.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
4
An event can be one outcome or a collection of several outcomes.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
5
Questions 9 and 10 are Activity 6 and 7.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
6
A cumulative fraction leaves out the earlier sum.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
7
0 is an impossible event.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
8
The unit of 22/40 = 0.55 is the centimetre.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
↑ Question hub

Fill in the blanks

0/8
1
22/40 = ______.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
2
6+8 heads = ______.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
3
12/60 = ______.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
4
480/1000 = ______.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
5
520/1000 = ______.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
6
135/200 = ______.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
7
1 − 0.675 = ______.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
8
The numerator of (30−8)/30 is ______.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
↑ Question hub

Match

0/2
1
Match the activity with its job.
Board-style (practice)2 marks
Column B: A. Two coins · B. One coin, from ten onward · C. Cumulative group coin · D. A die
1. 1
2. 2
3. 3
4. 4
2
Match the value with its meaning.
NCERT-style · practice2 marks
Column B: A. A large coin experiment · B. Impossible · C. Certain · D. One die score
1. 0
2. 1
3. 1/6
4. 0.5
↑ Question hub

Assertion–reason

0/5
Check both statements, then see whether the reason explains the assertion.
1

Assertion (A): P(E) divides favourable trials by the total.

Reason (R): Empirical probability is a ratio of counts.

Board-style (practice)1 mark
2

Assertion (A): For large tosses, heads move near 0.5.

Reason (R): Each die score also moves near 0.5.

Board-style (practice)1 mark
3

Assertion (A): Probability lies between 0 and 1.

Reason (R): 1.5 is also allowed when the trials are large.

Board-style (practice)1 mark
4

Assertion (A): Question 9 is Activity 6.

Reason (R): Questions 9 and 10 are activities inside Exercise 15.1.

Board-style (practice)1 mark
5

Assertion (A): Heads 0.48 and tails 0.52 add to 1.

Reason (R): The two events split every toss exactly once.

NCERT-style · practice1 mark
↑ Question hub

Coefficient practice

0/4
These are not results of this maths chapter. They are only coefficient practice for H2 + O2 → H2O.
1
This is coefficient practice, not a result of this maths chapter. Fill coefficients for H2 + O2 making H2O (blank = 1). This is not a probability result.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
H2 + O2 → H2O
2
This is coefficient practice, not a result of this maths chapter. Fill coefficients for H2 + O2 making H2O (blank = 1). Match the hydrogen count.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
H2 + O2 → H2O
3
This is coefficient practice, not a result of this maths chapter. Fill coefficients for H2 + O2 making H2O (blank = 1). Match the oxygen count.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
H2 + O2 → H2O
4
This is coefficient practice, not a result of this maths chapter. Fill coefficients for H2 + O2 making H2O (blank = 1). A blank coefficient is 1.
Board-style (practice)1 mark
H2 + O2 → H2O
↑ Question hub

Classify

0/2
1
Place each value on its experiment.
Board-style (practice)2 marks
About 0.5
About 1/6
Two heads about 0.25
Even scores 2, 4, 6
2
Place each job on its number.
NCERT-style · practice2 marks
Ten tosses
A die 20 times
Balls and boundaries
Cumulative groups
↑ Question hub

Very short answer

0/5
1
Write the formula for P(E).
Board-style (practice)1 mark
2
Write the values for impossible and certain.
Board-style (practice)2 marks
3
22 heads, 40 tosses. Write the fraction.
NCERT-style · practice2 marks
4
What is a trial?
Board-style (practice)1 mark
5
Write the outcomes of the even-score event.
Board-style (practice)2 marks
↑ Question hub

Short answer

0/4
1
480 heads and 520 tails, total 1000. Write both probabilities and the sum.
Board-style (practice)3 marks
2
135 like, 65 dislike, total 200. Write both values.
NCERT-style · practice3 marks
3
8 boundaries in 30 balls. Write the probability that one did not come.
Board-style (practice)3 marks
4
Why keep 12/60 apart from 1/6? Write both values.
NCERT-style · practice3 marks
↑ Question hub

Long answer

0/3
1
Write Activities 1 to 5 in one line each. Then give the formula for P(E).
Board-style (practice)5 marks
2
Explain 0, 1 and a complementary event. Show the sums for 480, 520 and for 135, 65.
NCERT-style · practice5 marks
3
What do questions 1, 7, 9 and 10 of Exercise 15.1 ask? Why not give 9 and 10 a new activity number?
Board-style (practice)5 marks
↑ Question hub

BSEB model paper · practice

0/6

This model set is for practice. It is not a question from any year’s annual examination. Annual questions will be added only when a source page is available.

1
22/30 belongs to which situation?
BSEB model · practice (not an annual paper)1 mark
2
Cumulative 14 heads and 30 tosses give —
BSEB model · practice (not an annual paper)1 mark
3
0.48 + 0.52 = ______.
BSEB model · practice (not an annual paper)1 mark
4
The answers appendix after Exercise 15.1 is a new chapter exercise.
BSEB model · practice (not an annual paper)1 mark
5
1000 tosses, 480 heads. Write P(heads), P(tails) and the unit.
BSEB model · practice (not an annual paper)3 marks
6
This is coefficient practice, not a result of probability. Balance H2 + O2 making H2O by filling coefficients (blank = 1).
BSEB model · practice (not an annual paper)1 mark
H2 + O2 → H2O
↑ Question hub

CBSE-style questions

0/6

These are competency-based practice questions. They are not copies of a CBSE paper.

1
Which idea gives a number to “it may rain”?
CBSE-style · competency-based (not a PYQ)1 mark
2
A student writes 8/30 for no boundary. The correction is —
CBSE-style · competency-based (not a PYQ)1 mark
3

Assertion (A): For large trials a coin moves near 0.5.

Reason (R): So every result of ten tosses will be exactly 0.5.

CBSE-style · competency-based (not a PYQ)1 mark
4
If the probability is 2, the event is twice certain.
CBSE-style · competency-based (not a PYQ)1 mark
5
At a bus stop, 20 of 50 buses were late. Write the probability that a bus was on time. What is the unit?
CBSE-style · competency-based (not a PYQ)3 marks
6
At the school gate, 18 of 40 vehicles were two-wheelers. Write P(two-wheeler) in the style of question 9. Why not call it Activity 6?
CBSE-style · competency-based (not a PYQ)3 marks
↑ Question hub

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🧠 What you learned + equation sheet

What you learned

WhatKeep this
FormulaP(E) = favourable / total
Coinnear 0.5
Dienear 1/6
Two coinsnear 1/4, 1/2, 1/4
Impossible0
Certain1

The notes are original writing. The textbook was used only for activity order and numbers. “Verified” will be used only on a question that has a source page.